Ontario projects up to 1600 deaths, 80,000 coronavirus cases by end of April

TORONTO — Provincial medical officials say if all current safety measures are upheld — the month of April could see a mass influx of 80,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and up to 1600 deaths.

This from President and CEO of Ontario Health Matthew Anderson who spoke along with President and CEO of Public Health Ontario Dr. Peter Donnelly and Dean of the Dalla Lana School of Public Health Adalsteinn Brown during a press conference at Queen’s Park.

The data showed that if Ontario had not taken public health measures that the province could have seen nearly 300,000 infections with nearly 6,000 deaths for April.

Over the entire course of the pandemic, provided Ontario residents all practise safety measures now in place will see anywhere from 3,000 to 15,000 deaths over the course of 18 months.

That is a major drop from the projected 100,000 deaths in the province if no safety measures were put in place.

The current population of Ontario is an estimated 13.6 million people, and projected infections would make up approximately 0.5% of the provincial popluation, projected deaths making up 0.01% of the population. The data also carries a roughly 2% projected death rate for the month of April.

The projections also show staggering numbers of ICU beds in the province reaching current 410 bed capacity by April 6 and, in a worst case scenario exceeding a 900 bed expanded capacity by April 14.

Brantford-Brant is now confirming 47 positive cases with 665 tests being administered.

Six Nations announced 9 positive cases. So far no positive cases have been announced at Mississaugas of the Credit. Haldimand-Norfolk is reporting 109 positive cases, 9 deaths and 385 negative results.

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